Look ahead
ChatGPT was published in November 2022, it’s 3 years and 3 month till now. Look back, it’s hard to believe that it change so much for computer science and programming.
How AI change programming
When ChatGPT was published at frist time, we were surprised that it can answer unlimited questions, after that, we started to use it for every question while ridicule, we shared the hallucination with colleagues and friend when we met the ridiculous problem. But that didn’t change the frequency people use it.
The appear of cursor stand new stage of application on programming of AI, I didn’t try cursor at first, I thought VS code will with in the end, as past competition of editor. of course, I think I was totally wrong.
Next stage is coding agent, like claude code, antigravity and codex. We don’t need to write code in editor window, it’s like the premium version of autocomplate in cursor. I can see that they are becoming better and better in the past half year.
Right now, I become too lazy to write code by myself.
I havn’t use claude code much now, based on my expericen on antigravity and codex, the coding agent is perfect, but I know the boundary of AI’s capacity, I know that they can edit where I want them to. I don’t have to change code by myself as long as AI coding agent can locate correctly based on my instruction.
When I open VS code now, I think it’s like the product of last century.
It’s hard to predict
This remind me that some people said this years will be the best year in next 10 years in 2019, nobody believed that. But it’s true. We usually don’t belive the thing that havn’t happened, it’s hard predict the future. But it’s much better if we can realize that it’s hard to belive, as a result, it’s more probably to predict part of the future. We also can have more willness to believe new products.
Influence AI bring mobile ecosystem
AI have significantly reduced the cost of mobile development. There are more and more mobile development platform now, they automate the whole process of mobile deveopment, you don’t need to code 1 line and don’t need to open editor. What you need to is chating and validate the result.
The interesting topic of mobile development is how it will change the mobile ecosystem future. Today, I remind the influence electronic book brought to paper book. Of course, it’s not totally same. One similar point is that new mehtod reduce the cost significantly.
How much we are willing to pay for the creator of application if its cost is low. Of course, some users will pay for the beautiful appearance, future support and trust, but most users pay for current APP, not others.
If we copy currently great app with low cost, how many users will chose the low-price one? it’s hard to say.
What about the app that need backend? it depends on what data the backend has, copyright data or just store user’s data.